Will I See / Iceland / Reykjavík / March

Northern lights in Reykjavík in March

Reykjavík in March · 2015–2025

59%

of 4-night stays in March saw the northern lights at least once, by our estimate. On any one night the chance was 28%. March is a good month in Reykjavík, though December (69%) was better.

9 / 31good nights in an average March: clear, dark and active enough
15nights with a clear, dark hour
8.6 hdarkness a night
Kp 2.3needed here
5 nightslongest cloudy spell, typical March

How long to stay in March

Chance of at least one good night, by length of stay, Reykjavík in March, 2015–2025.

28%1 night
40%2 nights
49%3 nights
59%4 nights
63%5 nights
68%6 nights
72%7 nights

In a typical March, the longest run of nights without a single clear, dark hour was 5 nights. A stay shorter than that can fall entirely into one cloudy spell.

Week by week in March (4-night stay)

  • 4 Mar – 10 Mar65%
  • 11 Mar – 17 Mar54%
  • 18 Mar – 24 Mar55%
  • 25 Mar – 31 Mar53%
Check your exact dates in the trip odds calculator

March in Reykjavík, year by year

Good nights in March, each year 2015–2025. The typical March had 8 good nights; the worst, 2020, had 2 and the best, 2023, had 16. 2023–2025, around the solar maximum, averaged 14 against 7 before.

20158 nights
20168 nights
201710 nights
20187 nights
20196 nights
20202 nights
20214 nights
20228 nights
202316 nights
202415 nights
202512 nights

A good night = at least one hour that was dark (sun below −12°), mostly clear (NASA POWER cloud data, calibrated on FMI weather stations) and had a Kp index at or above the Kp 2.3 that Reykjavík needs (GFZ Potsdam). These are estimates, not sightings. How it works

Aurora tours in Reykjavík in March

A guide with a car can drive to wherever the clouds break. With cloudy spells of 5 nights in a typical March, that matters here. Booking for your first night leaves the rest of the stay to try again if it's cloudy.

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Reykjavík in March: questions

March is a good month in Reykjavík, though December (69%) was better. In 2015–2025, 59% of 4-night stays in March saw the northern lights at least once, and an average March had 9 good nights (clear, dark and with auroras strong enough) out of 31. These are estimates from NASA cloud records and the Kp index, not sightings.

2 nights gave 40%, 4 nights gave 59%, 7 nights gave 72% odds of at least one good night in March (2015–2025). Even a week gave 72%, so treat the aurora as a bonus. In a typical March, the longest run of nights without a single clear, dark hour was 5 nights. A stay shorter than that can fall entirely into one cloudy spell.

About 8.6 hours a night with the sun more than 12° below the horizon, which is dark enough for faint auroras. Of those, 2.9 hours a night were mostly clear on average, and 15 nights in an average March had at least one clear, dark hour.

Auroras can appear any time it's dark, but activity usually peaks around midnight, roughly 22:00 to 02:00. With about 8.6 hours of darkness a night in March, start looking as soon as it's dark and stay out past midnight if you can. The live forecast shows tonight's best hour.