Will I See / Sweden / Abisko / March

Northern lights in Abisko in March

Abisko in March · 2015–2025

83%

of 4-night stays in March saw the northern lights at least once, by our estimate. On any one night the chance was 45%. March is about as good as any month in Abisko; the best was January (85%).

14 / 31good nights in an average March: clear, dark and active enough
18nights with a clear, dark hour
7.8 hdarkness a night
Kp 1.5needed here
4 nightslongest cloudy spell, typical March

How long to stay in March

Chance of at least one good night, by length of stay, Abisko in March, 2015–2025. 3 nights got you to about 3 in 4.

45%1 night
64%2 nights
75%3 nights
83%4 nights
86%5 nights
89%6 nights
91%7 nights

In a typical March, the longest run of nights without a single clear, dark hour was 4 nights. A stay shorter than that can fall entirely into one cloudy spell.

Week by week in March (4-night stay)

  • 4 Mar – 10 Mar92%
  • 11 Mar – 17 Mar85%
  • 18 Mar – 24 Mar80%
  • 25 Mar – 31 Mar72%
Check your exact dates in the trip odds calculator

March in Abisko, year by year

Good nights in March, each year 2015–2025. The typical March had 14 good nights; the worst, 2015, had 10 and the best, 2023, had 21. 2023–2025, around the solar maximum, averaged 19 against 12 before.

201510 nights
201616 nights
201711 nights
201814 nights
201911 nights
202011 nights
202114 nights
202211 nights
202321 nights
202418 nights
202517 nights

A good night = at least one hour that was dark (sun below −12°), mostly clear (NASA POWER cloud data, calibrated on FMI weather stations) and had a Kp index at or above the Kp 1.5 that Abisko needs (GFZ Potsdam). These are estimates, not sightings. How it works

Aurora tours in Abisko in March

A guide with a car can drive to wherever the clouds break. With cloudy spells of 4 nights in a typical March, that matters here. Booking for your first night leaves the rest of the stay to try again if it's cloudy.

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Abisko in March: questions

March is about as good as any month in Abisko; the best was January (85%). In 2015–2025, 83% of 4-night stays in March saw the northern lights at least once, and an average March had 14 good nights (clear, dark and with auroras strong enough) out of 31. These are estimates from NASA cloud records and the Kp index, not sightings.

2 nights gave 64%, 4 nights gave 83%, 7 nights gave 91% odds of at least one good night in March (2015–2025). For about 3-in-4 odds, plan 3 nights or more. In a typical March, the longest run of nights without a single clear, dark hour was 4 nights. A stay shorter than that can fall entirely into one cloudy spell.

About 7.8 hours a night with the sun more than 12° below the horizon, which is dark enough for faint auroras. Of those, 2.8 hours a night were mostly clear on average, and 18 nights in an average March had at least one clear, dark hour.

Auroras can appear any time it's dark, but activity usually peaks around midnight, roughly 22:00 to 02:00. With about 7.8 hours of darkness a night in March, start looking as soon as it's dark and stay out past midnight if you can. The live forecast shows tonight's best hour.