Will I See / Iceland / Akureyri / January

Northern lights in Akureyri in January

Akureyri in January · 2015–2025

63%

of 4-night stays in January saw the northern lights at least once, by our estimate. On any one night the chance was 24%. January is a good month in Akureyri, though February (73%) was better.

8 / 31good nights in an average January: clear, dark and active enough
15nights with a clear, dark hour
14.3 hdarkness a night
Kp 1.7needed here
5 nightslongest cloudy spell, typical January

How long to stay in January

Chance of at least one good night, by length of stay, Akureyri in January, 2015–2025. 7 nights got you to about 3 in 4.

24%1 night
40%2 nights
53%3 nights
63%4 nights
68%5 nights
73%6 nights
76%7 nights

In a typical January, the longest run of nights without a single clear, dark hour was 5 nights. A stay shorter than that can fall entirely into one cloudy spell.

Week by week in January (4-night stay)

  • 1 Jan – 7 Jan70%
  • 8 Jan – 14 Jan52%
  • 15 Jan – 21 Jan52%
  • 22 Jan – 28 Jan73%
Check your exact dates in the trip odds calculator

January in Akureyri, year by year

Good nights in January, each year 2015–2025. The typical January had 8 good nights; the worst, 2020, had 3 and the best, 2025, had 17. 2023–2025, around the solar maximum, averaged 12 against 6 before.

20159 nights
20168 nights
20176 nights
20184 nights
20198 nights
20203 nights
20214 nights
20224 nights
202310 nights
202410 nights
202517 nights

A good night = at least one hour that was dark (sun below −12°), mostly clear (NASA POWER cloud data, calibrated on FMI weather stations) and had a Kp index at or above the Kp 1.7 that Akureyri needs (GFZ Potsdam). These are estimates, not sightings. How it works

Aurora tours in Akureyri in January

A guide with a car can drive to wherever the clouds break. With cloudy spells of 5 nights in a typical January, that matters here. Booking for your first night leaves the rest of the stay to try again if it's cloudy.

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Akureyri in January: questions

January is a good month in Akureyri, though February (73%) was better. In 2015–2025, 63% of 4-night stays in January saw the northern lights at least once, and an average January had 8 good nights (clear, dark and with auroras strong enough) out of 31. These are estimates from NASA cloud records and the Kp index, not sightings.

2 nights gave 40%, 4 nights gave 63%, 7 nights gave 76% odds of at least one good night in January (2015–2025). For about 3-in-4 odds, plan 7 nights or more. In a typical January, the longest run of nights without a single clear, dark hour was 5 nights. A stay shorter than that can fall entirely into one cloudy spell.

About 14.3 hours a night with the sun more than 12° below the horizon, which is dark enough for faint auroras. Of those, 3.1 hours a night were mostly clear on average, and 15 nights in an average January had at least one clear, dark hour.

Auroras can appear any time it's dark, but activity usually peaks around midnight, roughly 22:00 to 02:00. With about 14.3 hours of darkness a night in January, start looking as soon as it's dark and stay out past midnight if you can. The live forecast shows tonight's best hour.