Northern lights in Churchill in January
98%
of 4-night stays in January saw the northern lights at least once, by our estimate. On any one night the chance was 75%. January is the second-best month in Churchill, after February (99%).
How long to stay in January
Chance of at least one good night, by length of stay, Churchill in January, 2015–2025. 1 night got you to about 3 in 4.
Long cloudy spells are rare here in January: in a typical year the longest run of fully cloudy nights was one night.
Week by week in January (4-night stay)
- 1 Jan – 7 Jan97%
- 8 Jan – 14 Jan98%
- 15 Jan – 21 Jan96%
- 22 Jan – 28 Jan99%
January in Churchill, year by year
Good nights in January, each year 2015–2025. The typical January had 23 good nights; the worst, 2020, had 17 and the best, 2015, had 28.
A good night = at least one hour that was dark (sun below −12°), mostly clear (NASA POWER cloud data, calibrated on FMI weather stations) and had a Kp index at or above the Kp 1 that Churchill needs (GFZ Potsdam). These are estimates, not sightings. How it works
Other destinations in January
Churchill ranks 2nd of 21 popular aurora destinations for January (4-night stays, 2015–2025).
Yellowknife
99%Fairbanks
89%Alta
88%Abisko
85%Kilpisjärvi
84%Inari
82%Aurora tours in Churchill in January
A guide with a car can drive to wherever the clouds break. Booking for your first night leaves the rest of the stay to try again if it's cloudy.
Churchill in January: questions
January is the second-best month in Churchill, after February (99%). In 2015–2025, 98% of 4-night stays in January saw the northern lights at least once, and an average January had 23 good nights (clear, dark and with auroras strong enough) out of 31. These are estimates from NASA cloud records and the Kp index, not sightings.
2 nights gave 88%, 4 nights gave 98%, 7 nights gave 100% odds of at least one good night in January (2015–2025). For about 3-in-4 odds, plan 1 night or more. Long cloudy spells are rare here in January: in a typical year the longest run of fully cloudy nights was one night.
About 13.6 hours a night with the sun more than 12° below the horizon, which is dark enough for faint auroras. Of those, 7.3 hours a night were mostly clear on average, and 27 nights in an average January had at least one clear, dark hour.
Auroras can appear any time it's dark, but activity usually peaks around midnight, roughly 22:00 to 02:00. With about 13.6 hours of darkness a night in January, start looking as soon as it's dark and stay out past midnight if you can. The live forecast shows tonight's best hour.