Will I see the northern lights in New York City tonight?
Probably not
Skies look partly clear, but auroras are forecast to be quiet: Kp 3.7, and New York City needs about Kp 8.8.
Hour by hour tonight
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Times are local (America/New_York). Only hours with the sun below −6° are shown. Kp forecast: NOAA SWPC. Clouds: MET Norway.
Planning a trip to New York City?
Auroras in New York City need a geomagnetic storm (about Kp 8.8). In 2015–2025 that lined up with a clear, dark sky not once in 11 years, by our estimate, so treat a sighting here as a bonus, not a plan.
Better odds nearby
Places within 700 km of New York City with more good nights a year.
New York City northern lights: questions
Rarely. New York City sits at 48.6° magnetic latitude, so auroras need about Kp 8.8, which means a geomagnetic storm. Our record (2015–2025) shows no night in 11 years with a clear, dark sky and auroras strong enough to see.
There is no reliable season: auroras this far south come with strong geomagnetic storms, which can happen in any dark month. Watch the live forecast and the Kp index instead of planning a trip around them.
About Kp 8.8. We worked that out from New York City's magnetic latitude (48.6°) with a rule calibrated against the Finnish Meteorological Institute's sighting statistics. Look north, low on the horizon, away from town lights.
Every 10 minutes we take NOAA's Kp forecast and MET Norway's hourly cloud forecast for New York City, add the sun and moon, and score each hour of tonight. The verdict is the best hour. How it works explains the calibration.