Will I see the northern lights in Belfast tonight?
Probably not
Skies look partly clear, but auroras are forecast to be quiet: Kp 3.7, and Belfast needs about Kp 7.6.
Hour by hour tonight
Loading tonight's hours…
Times are local (Europe/London). Only hours with the sun below −6° are shown. Kp forecast: NOAA SWPC. Clouds: MET Norway.
Planning a trip to Belfast?
Auroras in Belfast need a geomagnetic storm (about Kp 7.6). In 2015–2025 that lined up with a clear, dark sky on 5 nights in 11 years, so treat a sighting here as a bonus, not a plan.
Every night you could have seen them, 2015–2025
5 nights in 11 years were clear and dark in Belfast while auroras reached far enough, by our estimate from NASA cloud data and the Kp record. The strongest: 11 Nov 2025 (Kp 8.7). Most came near the solar maximum of 2024–2025.
- 17 Mar Kp 7.7
- 10 May Kp 8.7
- 11 May Kp 7.7
- 10 Oct Kp 8.7
- 11 Nov Kp 8.7
A "night you could have seen them" = at least one hour that was dark, mostly clear and with Kp at or above the Kp 7.6 that Belfast needs. Look north, low on the horizon, away from town lights: the northern lights here are usually a glow that a phone camera picks up better than your eyes.
Better odds nearby
Places within 700 km of Belfast with more good nights a year.
Shetland
5/yrOrkney
2/yrCaithness
2/yrIsle of Skye
1/yrBelfast northern lights: questions
Rarely. Belfast sits at 51.4° magnetic latitude, so auroras need about Kp 7.6, which means a geomagnetic storm. Our record (2015–2025) shows 5 nights in 11 years with a clear, dark sky and auroras strong enough to see.
There is no reliable season: auroras this far south come with strong geomagnetic storms, which can happen in any dark month. Watch the live forecast and the Kp index instead of planning a trip around them.
About Kp 7.6. We worked that out from Belfast's magnetic latitude (51.4°) with a rule calibrated against the Finnish Meteorological Institute's sighting statistics. Look north, low on the horizon, away from town lights.
Every 10 minutes we take NOAA's Kp forecast and MET Norway's hourly cloud forecast for Belfast, add the sun and moon, and score each hour of tonight. The verdict is the best hour. How it works explains the calibration.